2010 HiMCM B题特等奖学生论文下载2561
2010 HiMCM B题特等奖学生论文下载2561
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论文摘要如下：
Problem summary
Many people who have never lived in urban areas would associate terms such as boisterous, glorifying and inspirational with the word “city”. However, in their picture‐perfect image of what a city should look like, these people have failed to understand the dangerous world that is carried out under the radar— the world of crime. Therefore, for everyone’s benefit, we need to be able to understand why people commit these crimes in order to stop them, by looking at statistics and analyzing them through math models. This way, we can mathematically find ways to campaign a strategy that will curb the violence for the mayor.
Assumptions
• Unemployment is cyclical, because it is cyclical in the short‐term. Therefore, we assumed that it was cyclical in the long term, which is backed by economic theory.
• Graduation rate, county population and parole violations are causative factors without any other variables, because it’s possible to create common sense explanations of why they would increase/decrease. Also, there are no known variables that would infect the data.
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